May 4, 2007

New Movies and Box Office Predictions: Spider-Man 3, Lucky You

It gets earlier and earlier every year. Hollywood has been actively expanding the summer blockbuster season more and more every year. Before you know it, we will have summer style event films opening for Easter. Anyway, this first weekend of May brings with it the first of a series of highly anticipated films, which probably goes without saying. I am sure that all of you are sick and tired of reading all the hype surrounding the release of Spider-Man 3, and aside from posting the teaser trailer, I have been rather silent on that front. Now that the day is here, I would be remiss not to say something about it. It is the first shot at the record books for the year, and it is expected to topple a number of box office records, even with the middling reviews that it has been receiving, making it seem to have a similar relationship to its predecessor that X-Men:The Last Stand has to X2.

Lucky You. (2007, 124 minutes, PG-13, drama, trailer) I have been seeing the trailer for this for awhile now, but could never seem to remember the name. I would see lists of upcoming movies and wonder what was this movie called Lucky You? For some reason I could never make the connection between the two. Maybe now that it is being released I will be able to retain the information necessary to keep them in the same realm with each other. Anyway, the film stars Eric Bana and Drew Barrymore. Bana plays Huck Cheever, a high stakes poker player who plays full throttle all the time, while his love life is played a little to far to the safe and guarded. His guard in the personal is weakened by Drew Barrymore, while his professional life is challenged by his estranged father, played by Robert Duvall. This is the latest film from director Curtis Hanson, who was also behind LA Confidential and 8 Mile.

Spider-Man 3. (2007, 140 minutes, PG-13, science fiction, trailer) Here is the one we've all been waiting for, but has it been worth that wait? The teaser trailer was a phenomenal piece of work, the following trailer was also good. Hopefully, it will pay off, but the early word has tempered my enthusiasm. Perhaps it will work to my advantage, allow me to watch the film, rather than be a fan sucked into the schoolgirl glee of a new Spider-Man movie. This one has the primary cast returning, being joined by Thomas Haden Church, Topher Grace, and Bryce Dallas Howard. The Sandman (Church) is revealed to have played a part in the death of Peter's Uncle, Harry finds his father's equipment and knows Peter's secret, and Eddie Brock (Grace) has a personal vendetta against Peter which is helped by a strange black entity that Peter has duelling with. Man, sounds like a lot for one movie, not to mention the Peter/MJ tale of romance. Ahh, who am I kidding, I am still excited.

Also opening this week, but not near me:
  • Away From Her
  • Civic Duty
  • The Flying Scotsman
  • Paris, je t'aime
  • Waitress

Box Office Predictions
OK, I predict that I will be able to nail which movie is number one, and probably have a decent idea of its box office take. It is about a spidery superhero and will flirt with the opening weekend record. The rest of the field will be around to pick up the scraps, so there probably won't be much to go around. My guesses at the rest of the field are pure conjecture, nothing will have much of an impact next to the great webhead. As for the other new release? Well, it looks to be decent counter-programming, but how well it will do is really up the air. I can't really say that the marketing has had much of an impact on me, but what am I to say?

Here is how I think the top ten field will play out:

RankTitleBox Office
1Spider-Man 3$135 million
2Lucky Me$11 million
3Disturbia$5 million
4The Invisible$4 million
5

Blades of Glory

$3.5 million
6Fracture

$3 million

7Next$2.5 million
8Hot Fuzz$2 million
9Meet the Robinsons$1.5 million
10Vacancy$1 million

What are you seeing this weekend?

0 comments:

Post a Comment