June 8, 2007

New Movies and Box Office Predictions: Hostel Part II, Ocean's 13, Surf's Up

This weekend the cineplex is given a little room to breath. Following a May where three of the year's most hyped titles hit the screens in rapid succession, June begins with a lighter week where the riches are more likely to be spread out a little more evenly. That isn't to say there aren't high expectations on the part of the studios, but there isn't going to be a movie that is going to threaten for major box office records. Still, this weekend does have three films which should have pretty good openings. There is a movie with star power, one with gore power, and one with penguin power, the choice is yours. Choose wisely.

Hostel Part II. (2007, 93 minutes, R, horror, trailer) In January 2006 Eli Roth brought the latest torure film to the big screen, in doing so, it joined Saw as the premiere torture horror films of the day. Now, Hostel can join Saw in becoming a franchise. Originally slated to open the first weekend of 2007, the studio thought it would perform better in the warmer summer months, so it got pushed six months, and it is now here to make you queasy and toss around some buckets of blood and gore. I liked the first movie, and I hope to enjoy this one, although I doubt it will live up to the ads that say it has the "most disturbing ending in horror history." I also hope that it is better than the rather dull 5 minutes that aired at screenings of Bug, as the scene did not do much for me. Anyway, three Americans studying in Rome head out for a little fun, and end up at the old factory used as the playground of torture by those with enough money.

Ocean's 13. (2007, 113 minutes, PG-13, thriller, trailer) It has been said that the filmmakers set out to "make the movie they meant to with Ocean's 12." If that is true, I think this will be fun. yes, I enjoyed the second outing, but it was a bit tedious and not nearly as much fun as it should have been. So far, the trailers for this new outing seem to promise some high entertainment. I like the leading trio of Clooney, Pitt, and Damon, and the ever expanding supporting cast is nothing to sneeze at. This time out they add Al Pacino and Ellen Barkin to the mix, while Andy Garcia switches teams and joins the Ocean crew. This outing for the Ocean team has them taking down a casino by rigging the games with an end game of getting back at Pacino for taking out Elliot Gould's character. I am actually looking forward to this, and I think it will be big this weekend.

Surf's Up. (2007, 128 minutes, PG, animated comedy, trailer) Are we done with penguins yet? I liked March of the Penguins, Happy Feet was an absolute blast, but please, let's find some other animals to exploit. Yes, this may be good, but I am not really holding my breath for it. Plus surfing? Come on, I liked marching and dancing, not sure I want surfing. I will admit that the trailers have had a couple of funny moments, and the animation looks decent, but I am not sure I really want to see it. What do you say?

Also opening this week, but not near me:
  • La Vie en Rose
  • The Method (El Metodo)
  • You're Gonna Miss Me

Box Office Predictions
This weekend is going to be a tough call, Pirates seems to be fading pretty quick, as it has been outgrossed by Knocked Up during the week. Will the comedy top it on the weekend? Who would have guessed that Knocked Up would have been so widely welcomed, and is such a quality film? Anyway, it will have to contend with three new wide releases, all of which could go either way, so far as their take is concerned. This is the first weekend of the summer season that is really going to offer a pretty tight race, I think. Considering my less than stellar track record, take the following guesstimations with a grain of salt. I think I may be overestimating Hostel Part II, but I'll stick with it.

Here is how I think the top ten field will play out:

RankTitleBox Office
1Ocean's 13$41 million
2Hostel Part II$23 million
3Knocked Up$20 million
4Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End$18.5 million
5Surf's Up$16 million
6Shrek the Third$15 million
7Spider-Man 3$5 million
8Mr. Brooks$4 million
9Waitress$1 million
10Gracie$.75 million

What are you seeing this weekend?


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